Urs Gmuer, asset manager at Dolefin, a Swiss investment advice firm said silver is set for an even greater upward run than gold, with the market due to correct a distortion in its pricing of silver in relation to gold.
Gold and silver currently price at a ratio of around 45:1. However, Gmuer said declining silver output over the last 60 years—as a result of inventory depletion and mine closures—meant silver supplies currently outnumber gold by a ratio of less than 10:1, thus indicating a market correction is due.
Once this occurs, Gmuer said that silver prices would settle at 10 percent to 15 percent of gold. This implies that if gold reaches $6,200 per ounce, silver will peak at between $620 and $930 per ounce.
Gmuer added that markets for all precious metals were benefiting from the surge in demand for commodities, food, and energy from developing countries.
“Since World War II, the world population has almost quadrupled. However, most of the increase was in countries that had closed political systems, such as the Soviet Union, China and India,” he said. “When these countries started to open up in the 1990s, these people saw they could increase their level of well-being. It is pent-up demand.”
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