February was a brutal month for gold and silver prices. However this correction will not last long. Learn about why the metals have been selling off and where the price will bottom athttp://DailySilverUpdate.com
On October 21st, 2012, Jim Sinclair said the bullion banks would look to pull gold down one last time to allow them cover to reverse their own huge short positions in the market. Once this is safely accomplished they will go fully long in their own positions and take the gold price far higher. Right now the preoccupation in the bullion market is over a short-term correction, and the more alarming potential for a repeat of the 30 per cent price crash of 2008-9. Mr. Sinclair seems to be hinting that this will provide precisely the environment for the shedding of shorts and the creation of long-only positions in the market.
Six weeks after Sinclair’s warning, the bullion banks set the stage for a drop in the price of gold as Reuters reported Goldman Sachs predicts turn in gold bull market. In December 2012, Goldman Sachs lowered its three, six and 12-month forecasts for gold and predicted the gold cycle would turn lower in 2013.
On December 6th, AabianMoney.net reported: Goldman Sachs has put out a negative call on gold saying that the bull market is over, exactly the sort of market maneuver predicted six weeks ago by ‘Mr. Gold’ Jim Sinclair… On January 16th, Goldman analysts whipped up even more fear among gold investors by predicting a long-term price of gold of $1200: …we expect that gold prices will continue to trend lower over the coming five years and introduce our long-term gold price of $1,200/oz from 2018 forward. Because central banks had become net accumulators of gold, Sinclair said to make money in the new environment the bullion banks—Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank, HSBC—were going to change their strategy regarding precious metals.
THE CHINESE NEW YEAR GOLD MASSACRE: February 11th — February 22nd
To put their strategy into play, the bullion banks waited for Asian demand to slow during the two week Chinese New Year celebration; and when the Chinese New Year began on February 11th the bullion banks began forcing gold and silver lower. The strategy worked. The Chinese New Year’s route of gold had caused nervous investors to sell and investment funds to exit their long positions and instead go short allowing the bullion banks to exit their positions on the short side.
On Friday February 22nd, gold trader Andrew Maguire noted: The paper market longs have been tricked into selling. Obviously the managed money and the specs are now being tricked into short selling. Who do you think is on the long side of those trades?
These bullion banks have actually successfully transferred massive short positions into very weak hands. And this next week is going to provide large short fuel above the market. As soon as this leveraged selling is insufficient to meet the bullion bank buying, which will happen, if not today it will be early next week.
The record number of gold shorts held by speculators usually presages a rally in gold prices.
The gross short position held by speculative traders in US gold futures and options has neared or exceeded 60,000 contracts only 5 times before in the last 8 years…The average 6-month change in gold prices, according to analysis by BullionVault today, has then been +28%.
GOLD LIFTOFF SOON? MAYBE SO, MAYBE NOT
Now that bullion banks have exited their short positions and are long gold, the bankers are still going to protect their highly profitable paper money scheme and are not going to roll over and cede victory to gold unless forced by circumstances to do so. Exiting their short positions removed the possibility the bullion banks would suffer catastrophic losses if gold prices exploded upwards. Now, the banks will instead be able to profit by being on the long side of the trade leaving the managed funds and speculators to bear the losses. This does not mean, however, the bullion banks will abandon the credit and debt paper money cartel in their battle against gold. What it does mean is that the cartel has suffered a significant loss and gold’s victory is now one significant step closer. Supply and demand in the battle between gold and paper money has been offset by the use of credit and debt by the paper money cartel. Up until 2001, the paper money cartel had the momentum. After 2001, gold did. It still does today.